Skip to content

Preview

We are now just days away from the US presidential election, when American voters will choose between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The campaign has been extraordinary, marked by Joe Biden’s withdrawal as a candidate, the assassination attempts on Donald Trump and the abandonment of various electoral norms.

Despite all the excitement and uncertainty surrounding the election, our focus in the coming months will be on the Fed rather than the White House. The winner of the Electoral College is unlikely to be a major factor when the Fed’s Open Markets Committee mulls over what action to take at its November and December meetings. Political rhetoric does not always become reality, and the new president’s policies will take time to feed through into the hard data that informs the Fed’s decisions.

For all the drama, though, the election remains finely balanced–especially in the crucial swing states. An election that’s too close to call and in this report, we consider what impact this may have on the world’s financial markets.



Important Legal Information

This document is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation and was prepared without regard to the specific objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person who may receive it. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published without prior written permission from Franklin Templeton.

Any research and analysis contained in this document has been procured by Franklin Templeton for its own purposes and may be acted upon in that connection and, as such, is provided to you incidentally. Although information has been obtained from sources that Franklin Templeton believes to be reliable, no guarantee can be given as to its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed and may be subject to change at any time without notice. Any views expressed are the views of the fund manager as of the date of this document and do not constitute investment advice. The underlying assumptions and these views are subject to change based on market and other conditions and may differ from other portfolio managers or of the firm as a whole. 

There is no assurance that any prediction, projection or forecast on the economy, stock market, bond market or the economic trends of the markets will be realized. Franklin Templeton accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect consequential loss arising from the use of any information, opinion or estimate herein.

The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount that you invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative nor a guarantee of future performance.

Copyright© 2025 Franklin Templeton. All rights reserved. Issued by Templeton Asset Management Ltd. Registration Number (UEN) 199205211E.

CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are trademarks owned by CFA Institute.